Books/Notes/

Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

by Annie Duke


Because we are intelligent, we must have goals. Because we have goals, we must have strategy. There are a lot of smart people who confuse strategy from results from decisions from luck.

This book explains strategy with mathematical pragmatism. And in part, critiques why it's not totally insane why most people get it wrong. I also have the attention span of a reddit post and this book is full of intellectual nuggets of similar size.

Well done Annie Duke.

C'est Tout

Andy Tran | 2026